Service Plays Saturday 9/18/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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****Please note we can post ONLY Picks for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Asian Executive

10 Dimes Game of the Month 140 Miami-OH -8
9 Dimes Game of the Week 113 Ball St +16.5
9 Dimes Game of the Week 118 Temple +6.5
8 Dimes 187 UNLV +7
4 Dimes 141 Florida -14
3 Dimes 192 UCLA +3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Right Angle Sports (RAS)

1 UNIT* CFB* Arkansas State Red Wolves, -3
1 UNIT* CFB* Iowa Hawkeyes, Over 43
1 UNIT* CFB* Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Over 51
1 UNIT* CFB* Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (Southern Miss), -4
1 UNIT* CFB* Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (Southern Miss), Over 49
1 UNIT* CFB* University California Los Angeles Bruins (UCLA), Over 60
1 UNIT* CFB* University Central Florida Knights (UCF), -7
1 UNIT* CFB* University Central Florida Knights (UCF), Over 44
1 UNIT* CFB* Washington State Cougars, Under 57.5
2 UNIT* CFB* Arkansas State Red Wolves, Under 54.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog 9/18

Game: Connecticut at Temple (Saturday 9/18 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Temple +6.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Game: Kent State at Penn State (Saturday 9/18 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Penn State -21 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Game: Ohio at Ohio State (Saturday 9/18 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Ohio State -30 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)

Game: Vanderbilt at Ole Miss (Saturday 9/18 12:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Ole Miss -12 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)

Game: Alabama at Duke (Saturday 9/18 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Duke +24 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7

Game: U S C at Minnesota (Saturday 9/18 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Minnesota +11.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

Game: Baylor at T C U (Saturday 9/18 4:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on T C U -21 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)

Game: San Diego State at Missouri (Saturday 9/18 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Missouri -13.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

Game: Fresno State at Utah State (Saturday 9/18 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Utah State +5.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Power Sweep

NCAA
Western Michigan
Florida St, Arizona
Arkansas St., Notre Dame, Tulsa

Dog of the Week E. Michigan
Tech Play Arizona
Situational Play Oklahoma
Revenge Play SMU

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bryan Leonard

SEC Game of the Month!

Vanderbilt at Mississippi
Play: Vanderbilt

The Commodores enter this game on a ten game losing streak and have lost former coach Bobby Johnson to retirement. But even though on paper this looks like a team to avoid we're willing to step in and take Vanderbilt in their best role. The Commodores are often overlooked when they take to the road but in fact they are an excellent money maker. They are 15-4-1 as a conference road underdog and the wise guys in Vegas agree as steady money has shown on Vanderbilt this week. Make no doubt about it this team is playing with a patchwork offensive line that struggled last week against the terrific athletes of LSU, but Mississippi hasn't shown the ability to put pressure on the quarterback. We look for Vandy to be able to move the ball this week and put up enough points to keep this game interesting. After all the Commodores have held their own in this series as of late cashing to the tune of 8-2-1 against the Rebels.

Mississippi struggled to run the football last week against an inferior Tulane team and Houston Nutt has already said they were going to feature the running game here. More running plays mean more time off the clock which shortens the game and is an edge for the underdog. It was telling that last week every team who lost to an FCS school the previous week went out and easily covered the posted number, that is except for these Rebels. They were a 20 1/2 point favorite over the Green Wave and yet could only win by a 27-13 mark. Last year Ole Miss beat Vanderbilt by 16 points as a 10 point home favorite. That has been by far the most lopsided Mississippi win in recent history. Before than win the Commodores had won 3 of the prior 4 meetings.

With Vanderbilt having a bye on deck and Ole Miss hosting an always dangerous Fresno State team Vanderbilt should be more focused here. They surely don't want to enter the break with an 11 game losing streak hanging over their heads.


BRYAN LEONARD

EXTREME BLOWOUT-SATURDAY
128 East Carolina at Virginia Tech
Play: Virginia Tech

While this line has slowly moved up we still find solid value on the motivated favorite. East Carolina has been a huge surprise thus far under first year coach Ruffin McNeill. They returned just eight starters from a team that posted a 9-5 record a season ago. That is the lowest amount of returning starters in the FBS. They also lost a whopping 30 lettermen to graduation which points out just how young this team is. In the opening week they continued their dominance over Tulsa with a nationally televised 51-49 victory. Last week they beat up on one of the worst FBS squads in the country in a 49-27 victory over Memphis. But now they go on the road with all those young players for the very first time as they take on a frustrated Virginia Tech squad.

Virginia Tech lost a heartbreaker in week one as Boise State posted a 33-30 comeback victory in a Monday nationally televised affair. Last week after limited practices the Hokies were shocked at home by a very good FCS squad in James Madison. Now they must regroup and beat an East Carolina team that has had their number as of late. The Hokies are 8-5-1 ATS off a straight up loss. They are also 63-11 straight up the past 11 years in this building. While the Pirates have cashed with a 2-0-1 spread mark the last three seasons in this series, the circumstances are totally different this time around.

As opposed to the last two seasons when East Carolina returned 16 starters including the quarterback this is a very young inexperienced squad. In those three meetings the game meant much more to the Pirates who were taking on a national power. In 2007 Virginia Tech had a huge game at LSU on deck. In 2008 the Hokies were returning just 10 starters and struggled in the opening season loss to the Pirates. Last year Virginia Tech faced East Carolina right in the middle of ACC play after dropping back to back games against Georgia Tech and North Carolina. Now it's the Hokies who have all the motivation as the next two games are on the road at Boston College and NC State.

Every team that has lost to an FCS squad the previous week won and covered the following week except for Mississippi who decided to take a knee at the Tulane ten yard line instead of scoring a spread covering touchdown. Don't expect the Hokies to be so gracious.

PLAY VIRGINIA TECH
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BRYAN LEONARD

POINTSPREAD PUNISHER
Houston at UCLA
Play: Houston

The current line is in the range of Houston -3 because of the uncertainty of Houston quarterback Case Keenum who was injured last week in a 54-24 win over UTEP. But regardless of his return we want to back a Cougars squad that is multi-dimensional offensively. Backup quarterback Cotton Turner has already proven himself at this level completing a whopping 75% of his passes last year without throwing an interception. That's a higher completion percentage that Keenan last season. The Houston running game is dynamic and the Cougars have already shown their ability to step up their play when facing BCS caliber competition on the road. Last year they shocked #5 Oklahoma State 45-35 and won at Mississippi State 31-24. Those two teams are head and shoulders better than this years UCLA squad.

How bad have things gotten for the Bruins in Rick Neuheisel's third year? He actually apologized to the fans after last week's humiliating 35-0 home loss to Stanford. After losing 31-22 at Kansas State opening week the Bruins have now posted a 3-8 record their last 11 regular season games. None of those eight losses came by less than 7 points. In fact, UCLA has now lost outright eight straight games in which they were installed in the underdog role. The offense hasn't scored more than 28 points against any team other than San Diego State and Temple in the last 23 games. In fact, you would have to go back 36 games to find this team producing more than 33 points in any game. The reason we bring that up is that Houston averaged more than that many points over the past four seasons.

The Cougars have now gone eight straight road contests in which they scored 31 points or better. That includes 32 at East Carolina, 32 at Central Florida, 45 at Oklahoma State and 41 once again at East Carolina in 2009. Each of those clubs went to play in the postseason. UCLA permitted just 21.2 ppg a year ago, a 7.8 ppg improvement on the 2008 season. After two games they have allowed 31 and 35 points to Kansas State and Stanford. Last year they held those two squads to a combined 33 points. The offense isn't any better than a season ago and the defense has regressed. There is simply no way UCLA can exchange scores with this Houston offense regardless of who gets the call behind center for the Cougars. Grab this number now because if it's announced that Keenum is back the line will shoot even higher.

PLAY HOUSTON

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

David Malinsky

4* TROY over UAB

We do not believe that marketplace has the proper read as to just how bad things are at U.A.B. right now, and also that there is next to no home field advantage for this matchup. So the chance to play the far superior program in this short of a price range can not be passed up.

We wrote an NCAA “Verities & Balderdash” column about Joe Webb LY, and how the SR Blazer QB might have been worth more to his team than any other player in the nation. So the question became how bare the cupboard would be without him, and the answers are ugly – in opening 0-2 SU and ATS, we can not find a strength in Neil Callaway’s team. What look like respectable rushing numbers in the opener were not that – Florida Atlantic was not prepared to see QB David Isabelle running so much, and he picked up 214 yards on 22 carries in that game. That is nearly half of the entire rushing output for the young season, with no individual RB even reaching 20 carries yet. When S.M.U. was prepared for Isabelle’s running last week the entire offense was shut down – U.A.B. could not muster a first down in the first 27 minutes of game action, and had only 95 yards of total offense at the half. Finishing with seven points, 11 first downs and 261 yards is truly sad against that class of defense. But when you show little ability to either run or pass (Isabelle is under 50 percent completions through two games, netting only 5.5 yards per attempt with a pair of INT’s), even a weak defense can rise up. Through two games they have already had a dozen 3-and-outs, and also three other possessions in which they turned the ball over in five plays or fewer.

The most alarming part of the S.M.U. defeat was not the offense, however. It was a defensive front that allowed a finesse Mustang attack to bully them right at the point of attack, running for 247 yards on 37 attempts, for an ugly 6.7 per try. Note that these were not option plays or tricky designs, but mostly plunges between the tackles, keyed by Zach Line, who ran for 122 yards at 7.6, with a pair of TD’s. So if Callaway could only go 11-25 in this first three seasons with the dynamic talent of Webb around, we see in these opening results just how decrepit this program is. With only five SR starters on this week’s two-deep chart there is a dearth of leadership, but the younger players seeing action do not seem all that talented anyway.

Troy shows talent. The Trojans are also young, but we saw much of that potential at Oklahoma State on Saturday night, when they carried a 27-20 halftime lead, but saw the upset get away with four second-half turnovers, two of them inside the Cowboy 10-yard line. They also benefitted from some bounces in that game, but overall it was a solid performance in a hostile environment. That particularly helped the growing process of dynamic young QB Corey Robinson (national record of 91 TD passes in his SR High School season, yes 91), who has thrown for 524 yards and four TD’s at 70.7 percent completions, and five different Trojans have already caught five passes or more, while three different players have at least 60 rushing yards. Even with Webb on the field they controlled U.A.B. to the tune of 551-285 in total offense LY, a significantly greater dominance than the 27-14 final score shows, and that is an indication of the gap in talent and direction between these programs. With plenty of seats available for Troy fans for this short trip (a little over two hours), we peg this close to a neutral environment, which makes it even easier for the Trojans to gradually pull away.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HRC NCAAF PREMIUM-Saturday, September 18th
Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

Selections:
[183] Boise State |Shop Best Line|B+0|CBSC|8:00 pm EST

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lenn Robbins, NY Post

GEORGIA (-2½) over Arkansas: Mark Richt (5-0) has owned Arkansas. The Hogs led 21-10 last year at home and couldn't get it done. Georgia covers on a late field goal.

TEMPLE (+6½) over UConn: The Owls have been tested twice this season and proven they can win. This is the program's best chance to build some buzz -- its first win over a BCS school in the Al Golden era.

NORTH CAROLINA (-1½) over Georgia Tech: What we've learned after two weeks: Tech QB Josh Nesbitt can't keep defenses honest, and there's no Jonathan Dwyer to bail him out. We like the Tar Heels buoyed by a home crowd that believes the NCAA is on a witch hunt.

VIRGINIA TECH

(-19½) over East Carolina: The Pirates shocked the Hokies in the past, but Tech got shocked into reality after losing to James Madison last week. The Pirates are 1-7 in last eight road openers.

Alabama (-24) over DUKE: I don't care how early Nick Saban pulls his starters, Duke just gave up 54 to Wake Forest! Mark Ingram returns to the Tide backfield.

FLORIDA STATE

(-10) over Brigham Young: The 'Noles are 3-0 vs. BYU, and each win has been by at least 16 points. Too much FSU speed.

TENNESSEE (+14) over Florida: According to the Vols, this is a rivalry. What rivalry? The Gators have won five straight in this matchup. Tennessee looked awful in a home loss last week to Oregon, but John Brantley isn't making any Florida fans forget Tim Tebow. The Gators are 104th in passing. Tennessee will force him to win the day.

MINNESOTA (+12½) over Southern Cal: The Golden Gophers are coming off a hor rific home loss to South Da kota State, but the Tro jans have looked disin terested in fail ing to cover the first two weeks. Welcome to Lane's World.

Air Force (+17) over OKLAHOMA: Wow, did the Sooners look great in that showdown against FSU last week. Now who comes to town? A service academy. Oklahoma wakes up later and wins but not before the third best team in the Mountain West does some damage on the ground.

WISCONSIN (-14) over Arizona State: The Badgers have won eight straight at home vs. non-conference BCS teams. The average margin of victory has been 14. This is a sleeper national championship team playing in the Big Ten's best home environment.

TEXAS TECH (+3) over Texas: The Longhorns haven't played a road game. The Longhorns haven't been tested. The Longhorns are changing personality to a power ground game. The Red Raiders have outplayed the Longhorns in each of the last two years and lost. That's not barbeque cookin' in Lubbock. That's an upset.

MICHIGAN STATE (-3½) over Notre Dame: More than the spread option, Michigan State is the kind of brute physical team Irish coach Brian Kelly fears. He switched to the 3-4 because he doesn't have enough defensive linemen. The Spartans, whipped into an emotional frenzy by having the Irish for a prime-time telecast, run the ball until it hurts.

ARIZONA (+1½) over Iowa: Kirk Ferentz is 23-32 in away games and this is away! And at night. And don't discount the emotion that went into the Hawkeyes' win over Iowa State last week for the CyHawk Trophy. Oh yes, Iowa is 4-8 in last 12 road openers.

LAST WEEK: 10-5 overall; 3-0 best bets.

 

[vinnyvegas]

Norm Hitzges

September 17-20, 2010
Last Week College: 12-5 NFL 8-6 Total 20-11 Season: 25-18
NCAA
Double Plays
Virginia Tech -19.5 vs E. Carolina
Boise -23.5 vs Wyoming


Single Plays
Baylor +21.5 vs TCU
SMU -20.5 vs Washington State
Mississippi State +8 vs LSU
Colorado -12 vs Hawaii
Wisconsin -13 vs Arizona State
Western Michigan -3.5 vs Toledo
Wake Forest +17.5 vs Stanford
Oregon St. -20 vs Louisville
Arkansas State -4 vs ULA Monroe
Miami, OH -7.5 vs Colorado State

 

[joeduffy]

It’s the famed OffshoreInsiders tip sheet for beating the NCAA point spread for week three.

September 18, 2010

Utah vs. New Mexico

Lines-Maker.com’s Brian Kayma is reporting that Utes starting QB Jordan Wynn is doubtful. However, his backup is last year’s starter Terrance Cain, a much better scrambler than Wynn. The uncertainty is just another worry for the undermanned New Mexico team that doesn’t know which signal caller to prepare for.

Preseason all-conference center Zane Taylor is likely also out for the Utes.

Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State

Cy McCormick of the Power of 620 sports services behind every selection, the MasterLockLine, says his sources assure him that Cowboys starting QB Brandon Weeden’s thumb injury is much worse than he and head Mike Gundy are saying. They have no capable replacement with his two backups having thrown a combined seven passes in their college careers.

Arkansas vs. Georgia

Arkansas RB Dennis Johnson, a member of the Doak Walker watch list, is out with bowel problems. Welcome to the club.

He is also the school’s kickoff return career leader with 2,014 yards and two touchdowns. At running back, he was part of a four-man rotation, so there are experienced players to pick up the slack.

Florida vs. Tennessee

Gators starting WR and PR Chris Rainey may be suspended as a result of an arrest on aggravated stalking.

Ball St. vs. Purdue

Purdue WR Keith Smith, who had 91 catches last year and 18 in the early going this year, is out.

Texas vs. Texas Tech

Injuries continue to thin the Longhorns on the offensive line. All five linemen are starting for the first time this year or playing new positions. They have to face a Texas Tech pass rush that is third nationally with nine sacks.

Houston vs. UCLA

Houston’s QB Case Keenum is a game time decision. His backup Cotton Turner played well against UTEP leading GodsTips to a side and total sweep on the Cougars and over. It’s very unlikely Houston will change their game plan if Keenum is out.

UCLA is dealing with an inept offense, so look for the Cougars to happily engage in a shootout no matter what.

Middle Tennessee State vs. Memphis

Memphis starting QB Cannon Smith is out. He completed 13-of-21 passes this year with one TD and interception. Ryan Williams starts. He’s actually been better this year completing 28-of-42 passes for three TDs and two INTs.

However, MTSU is down to their No. 3 QB. Preseason Sunbelt player of the year Dwight Dasher is suspended. His replacement Logan Kilgore is out. Jeff Murphy, who started last week, went 22-of-36 for 301 yards with no TDs, but one INT.

North Texas vs. Army

Mean Green starting QB Nathan Tune is out for the year. Derek Thompson, who is 30-for-42 over the last two years, gets the start. He has one career TD.

Northwestern vs. Rice

Rice starting QB Taylor McHargue is out. His replacement Nick Fanuzzi started last year, came in last week after McHargue got hurt and led them to a game winning drive to North Texas. He actually has 12 career TD passes, but nine interceptions.

Fresno State vs. Utah State

Fresno is without two key offensive starters RB Robbie Rouse and WR Devon Wylie. The Bulldogs are off a bye week.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data (Fletcher)

Sat.

4* OK.ST-7
3* Houston-3

 

[AC2008]

Football Jesus Podcast Free pick : Georgia Bulldogs

 

[NCSUWolfpack1]

Dr B 0 B

Best Bets
Rotation #190 Arizona (+1 1/2) 2-Stars at -1 or better.
Rotation # 194 Stanford (-17) 2-Stars at -19 or less.

Strong Opinions
Rotation #104 Southern Miss (-5 1/2) Strong Opinion at 6 1/2 or less.
Rotation #111-112 Iowa State-Kansas State OVER (49 1/2) Strong Opinion OVER 51 points or less.
Rotation #119-120 Ohio-Ohio State UNDER (46) Strong Opinion Under 45 points or higher.
Rotation #132 Oklahoma State (-6 1/2) Strong Opinion at -7 or less.

 

[jb777]

ROYAL FLUSH SPORTS


Free Selection: 1 Dime Tennessee Volunteers +14



(RFS Selections are Rated 1 Dime, 2 Dimes or 5 Dimes)

 

[cheezer]

SB Professor Original NCAAF Picks Saturday 9.18


12 PM EST

Vanderbilt +12*

Maryland +10
Northern Illinois +7.5
Temple +6

3:30 PM EST

Arizona St. +13*

Hawaii +13
BYU +10
Colorado St. +8
Minnesota +12
Washington +3.5
Eastern Michigan +10.5

7 PM EST

La. Tech +3.5*

Tulsa +7.5
Buffalo +8
Clemson +7.5
Texas Tech +3.5

10:30 PM EST

UCLA +3.5*


Can anyone get the Reloaded Plays from this guy? Thanks

 

[rhino1153]

I've been using a new guy I found a while back. Let's see how he does.

Arlon Sports

Northern Illinois vs Illinois. Play Northern Illinois at +5 or higher
Nebraska vs. Washington. Play Washington at +3 or higher
Colorado St vs. Miami OH. Play Colorado St. at +8 or higher

 

[JMEYERS]

HRC PREMIUM NCAA FOOTBALL ACTION-September 18th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[110] West Virginia |5*|-9.5|B+1/2|ESPNU|12:00 pm EST

[122] Penn State |5*|-20.5|B+1/2|Network N/A|12:00 pm EST

[123] Georgia Tech |5*|+2.5|B+1/2|Network N/A|12:00 pm EST

[128] Virginia Tech |5*|-19.5|B+1/2|Network N/A|1:30 pm EST

[148] Wisconsin |5*|-12.5|B+1/2|ABC|3:30 pm EST

 

[GrumpyBear]

Ness Legend - Arizona

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teddy Covers

BIG TICKET GAME OF THE MONTH
20* USC Trojans